Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Are Expectations Too High in Allen? A Historical Perspective

I was struggling to come up with something to write about this morning after waking up before 3:00 am. I covered a lot of subjects in my mind but mostly was thinking about my new granddaughter (Stella) who went home yesterday after spending a few days in the NICU and our upcoming trip to Antarctica. It got me thinking about expectations and I reminded myself how important it is, especially at my stage of life, to live in the moment, enjoy each day and not have so many expectations. I think the same is true when it comes to the Allen Americans. The expectations have been huge from the beginning of the franchise but even more so since Allen won four consecutive championships from 2013 to 2016. It got to the point anything less than a championship was a huge disappointment and that has been the culture around this team ever since. 

 

I remembered a blog post from years ago that talked about expectations, so I went hunting in the archives to find it. The story is actually about another team (Fort Wayne Komets) but is certainly food for thought for Allen fans. With the Americans having a new coach, a new team, a new affiliate and a new front office structure, tempering expectations may allow for less frustration and more enjoyment as the season progresses.  Here is that story from May 19, 2014, just before Allen joined the ECHL and right after Allen won back to back CHL championships. Ironically, Allen exceeded expectations by winning Kelly Cups the next two seasons, its first two seasons in the ECHL. 


From May 19, 2014: The Allen Americans have been the most successful team in the CHL in the last five years by almost any measurement you want to look at including most points, most playoff wins, Governor's Cups, and Presidents' Cups. With all of the success over the past five years and the back to back championships, a question that surely arises is, are expectations in Allen too high and will a good team that makes a nice playoff run but doesn't make it to the finals be seen as a failure. I came across the article below written by Blake Sebring of The News Sentinel in Fort Wayne that addresses this very issue as it relates to the Fort Wayne Komets who won the CHL Presidents' Cup in 2012 and then moved to the ECHL. Last year (2012-13), Ft. Wayne's first in the ECHL, they did not make the playoffs and this year they lost in the second round to the Cincinnati Cyclones. Some food for thought for Allen fans going into next year (its first in the ECHL).


Because the Fort Wayne Komets won four titles in six seasons, is every year considered a bad one if they fail to win another championship?
``Yeah, here that's a fair statement,'' Komets forward Chris Auger said. ``That's all you hear about, `Are you guys going to win this year?' It's not, `Are you going to have a good team?' ''
Though the Komets advanced past the first round for the 11th time in their last 12 playoff appearances, it was easy to forget that Auger and Kaleigh Schrock were the only players remaining who had won a championship ring with Fort Wayne. They were part of the 2012 Central Hockey League championship squad.
The Komets also won International Hockey League championships in 2008, 2009 and 2010. Some fans don't put as much emphasis on those three titles as they do the CHL title because the IHL was a smaller league.
That's kind of simplistic way to look at it because at least two of the teams the Komets beat for IHL titles would have easily handled the Wichita team Fort Wayne beat for the CHL crown. They were more experienced, more talented, better coached and they had better goaltending.
Winning a championship again didn't happen this year, but the Komets were probably much closer than anyone expected. They'll find out how close as they watch how Cincinnati does in the next two rounds.
``Hockey is a very opportunistic game,'' Schrock said. ``You can out-play somebody for 50 minutes, but they can cash in on their opportunities and that's it. As long as you go out and give the effort, and limit your mistakes, more times than not you're going to find a way to win games.''
It's the old ``Will beats skill'' mantra, which works in hockey more than in any other sport. Players and fans all believe their team can win as long as they want it bad enough.
``It's not going to happen every year because you're going to run into hot teams, you're going to have bad luck and injuries sometimes,'' Schrock said. ``I personally thought our goal this year was to make a deep run into the playoffs and develop a core that could come back and have a chance to win next year. I think the consistency factor comes in... You're not going to be in the finals every year, but as long as you are competing for that opportunity and you are good enough to do it, then that's important. If you are in the hunt every year, that's the goal, to have a chance to lift the trophy.''
That's fine for the players, who have been dealing with the fans expectations that they win all season, maybe even especially when the Komets were struggling to win at home. The players felt the pressure. Many fans didn't care how well the team played on the road because that's not what they were paying to watch.
``The fans demand the best and they can do that and should do that,'' Auger said. ``They are paying good money to watch us play. Is it unrealistic to deem a season bad if you don't win a championship? Yeah, of course.
``But here, especially this season, you can't rule this year as a success just based on the home record and the way everything happened this year. There was too much stuff that went on.''
What's funny is that so few of the current players had any idea of the expectations in Fort Wayne. They don't know the franchise's history, and to them, the name on the back of the jersey is every bit as important as the one on the front. To them, Fort Wayne is no different than Kalamazoo, Wheeling, Cincinnati or Chicago. Their priority is to move up to the American Hockey League and further their careers.
That's part of why it took so long for the team to come together this season, and why so many trades needed to be made. The players who left, generally, refused to buy into the team concept. Some didn't care about anything but their own points.
``I think it's cool that the fans demand that, but at the end of the day we play minor league hockey,'' Auger said. ``Guys want to win because that's the biggest way to get your career to the next level, to play on winning teams. The year after we won, everyone got good contract offers from other teams.''
And if they aren't going to the AHL, they want to go to Europe where the money is so much better. The players all have agents who are looking for their best options all the time.
Especially in the ECHL, the players and the team sometime have different goals, and it's up to the coach to channel both in one direction.
So do the Komets have to win a title for it to be a successful season?
``Yes, that's the way people see things here,'' Schrock said.
But who specifically?
``The people who wear orange and black in the stands.''
But the people in the stands have to remember even the Komets have to start over sometimes.



DID YOU KNOW: Over the last 10 seasons Allen has won four championships, made the playoffs nine times, finished with a regular season points percentage above .600 seven times and above .700 three times.

11 comments:

  1. Good food for thought

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    1. Yea - let that feed you for the next 20 years while Jack forces that down your throat

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    2. Memphis Dave, are we the only people not living in fantasy land? Then again, I am a cowboys fan….. Bobby 226

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  2. Well written and very timely…making the playoffs should be the annual goal in my opinion…excluding historical stats based on what has happened after 20% of the season is already in the books…the truth is, making the playoffs is a “winning season” in my opinion…then and only then should a Kelly Cup be the mindset…

    FA☠️FO

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    1. Making the playoffs is a winning season?? And then if you're in the playoffs you can focus on the Kelly Cup...that's a tad bit laughable. The changes that need to be made for this organazation to be successful won't be made and I'm not talking about a new owner

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  3. Sounds like excuses for a poorly assembled team, an affiliation that wasn’t properly vetted by a new president of hockey operations, and the reputation of owner that can’t be erased so easily.

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  4. Does winning improve anything? Sure playoff games are 20x more hype but I'm not going to stop coming because of some losses. I'm going to stop coming because the ticketing staff isn't friendly, the management is robotic self service or some generic messaging. You get zero vouchers vs so many vouchers we always had leftovers before. The food options seem to get worse and more expensive. Nothing like everywhere asking for a tip when you wait in line for 20 minutes to get overpriced food/drinks. Away games are better, the ticket staff more personal, tickets are cheaper, ton more/cheaper food options and cheaper/less broken seats. You even see other teams buffing and cleaning their glass.

    And what is going to get you a better affiliation?

    Only thing winning does is reset your team more. I'd love a win and these guys deserve it but I'd be much more thankful for having a team/arena that seems to want me there.

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  5. Winning the cup is the hope but it is not reasonable to think any team can win it all the time. Getting to the playoffs should be the goal. We knew this year would be tough with the player considerations from the previous year, plus an affiliation that doesn't help. Knowing that, hope they get better but realize they are behind the 8 ball this year.

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  6. It not about winning the Cup every year - it's actually the impression you are trying to... The Allen Americans are not trying

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  7. Barry - Ft Wayne is a horrible meal for thought - they dropped down to win the CHL championship - We moved up and won back to back Cups. I don't care if we win each year - just act like you are trying.

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  8. Are expectations too high? What kind of question is that? We expect the Americans to put out an exceptional product. We expect them to compete for the cup every year. We are not Wichita, we are not KC, we are not Tulsa, we are not Rapid City. No, expectations are not “too high”. Allen demands a high bar. If you want to lower the bar, go to another town. Nobody wants to pay for a steak and get served a salad. -Bobby 226

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