Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Are Expectations Too High in Allen? A Historical Perspective

I was struggling to come up with something to write about this morning after waking up before 3:00 am. I covered a lot of subjects in my mind but mostly was thinking about my new granddaughter (Stella) who went home yesterday after spending a few days in the NICU and our upcoming trip to Antarctica. It got me thinking about expectations and I reminded myself how important it is, especially at my stage of life, to live in the moment, enjoy each day and not have so many expectations. I think the same is true when it comes to the Allen Americans. The expectations have been huge from the beginning of the franchise but even more so since Allen won four consecutive championships from 2013 to 2016. It got to the point anything less than a championship was a huge disappointment and that has been the culture around this team ever since. 

 

I remembered a blog post from years ago that talked about expectations, so I went hunting in the archives to find it. The story is actually about another team (Fort Wayne Komets) but is certainly food for thought for Allen fans. With the Americans having a new coach, a new team, a new affiliate and a new front office structure, tempering expectations may allow for less frustration and more enjoyment as the season progresses.  Here is that story from May 19, 2014, just before Allen joined the ECHL and right after Allen won back to back CHL championships. Ironically, Allen exceeded expectations by winning Kelly Cups the next two seasons, its first two seasons in the ECHL. 


From May 19, 2014: The Allen Americans have been the most successful team in the CHL in the last five years by almost any measurement you want to look at including most points, most playoff wins, Governor's Cups, and Presidents' Cups. With all of the success over the past five years and the back to back championships, a question that surely arises is, are expectations in Allen too high and will a good team that makes a nice playoff run but doesn't make it to the finals be seen as a failure. I came across the article below written by Blake Sebring of The News Sentinel in Fort Wayne that addresses this very issue as it relates to the Fort Wayne Komets who won the CHL Presidents' Cup in 2012 and then moved to the ECHL. Last year (2012-13), Ft. Wayne's first in the ECHL, they did not make the playoffs and this year they lost in the second round to the Cincinnati Cyclones. Some food for thought for Allen fans going into next year (its first in the ECHL).


Because the Fort Wayne Komets won four titles in six seasons, is every year considered a bad one if they fail to win another championship?
``Yeah, here that's a fair statement,'' Komets forward Chris Auger said. ``That's all you hear about, `Are you guys going to win this year?' It's not, `Are you going to have a good team?' ''
Though the Komets advanced past the first round for the 11th time in their last 12 playoff appearances, it was easy to forget that Auger and Kaleigh Schrock were the only players remaining who had won a championship ring with Fort Wayne. They were part of the 2012 Central Hockey League championship squad.
The Komets also won International Hockey League championships in 2008, 2009 and 2010. Some fans don't put as much emphasis on those three titles as they do the CHL title because the IHL was a smaller league.
That's kind of simplistic way to look at it because at least two of the teams the Komets beat for IHL titles would have easily handled the Wichita team Fort Wayne beat for the CHL crown. They were more experienced, more talented, better coached and they had better goaltending.
Winning a championship again didn't happen this year, but the Komets were probably much closer than anyone expected. They'll find out how close as they watch how Cincinnati does in the next two rounds.
``Hockey is a very opportunistic game,'' Schrock said. ``You can out-play somebody for 50 minutes, but they can cash in on their opportunities and that's it. As long as you go out and give the effort, and limit your mistakes, more times than not you're going to find a way to win games.''
It's the old ``Will beats skill'' mantra, which works in hockey more than in any other sport. Players and fans all believe their team can win as long as they want it bad enough.
``It's not going to happen every year because you're going to run into hot teams, you're going to have bad luck and injuries sometimes,'' Schrock said. ``I personally thought our goal this year was to make a deep run into the playoffs and develop a core that could come back and have a chance to win next year. I think the consistency factor comes in... You're not going to be in the finals every year, but as long as you are competing for that opportunity and you are good enough to do it, then that's important. If you are in the hunt every year, that's the goal, to have a chance to lift the trophy.''
That's fine for the players, who have been dealing with the fans expectations that they win all season, maybe even especially when the Komets were struggling to win at home. The players felt the pressure. Many fans didn't care how well the team played on the road because that's not what they were paying to watch.
``The fans demand the best and they can do that and should do that,'' Auger said. ``They are paying good money to watch us play. Is it unrealistic to deem a season bad if you don't win a championship? Yeah, of course.
``But here, especially this season, you can't rule this year as a success just based on the home record and the way everything happened this year. There was too much stuff that went on.''
What's funny is that so few of the current players had any idea of the expectations in Fort Wayne. They don't know the franchise's history, and to them, the name on the back of the jersey is every bit as important as the one on the front. To them, Fort Wayne is no different than Kalamazoo, Wheeling, Cincinnati or Chicago. Their priority is to move up to the American Hockey League and further their careers.
That's part of why it took so long for the team to come together this season, and why so many trades needed to be made. The players who left, generally, refused to buy into the team concept. Some didn't care about anything but their own points.
``I think it's cool that the fans demand that, but at the end of the day we play minor league hockey,'' Auger said. ``Guys want to win because that's the biggest way to get your career to the next level, to play on winning teams. The year after we won, everyone got good contract offers from other teams.''
And if they aren't going to the AHL, they want to go to Europe where the money is so much better. The players all have agents who are looking for their best options all the time.
Especially in the ECHL, the players and the team sometime have different goals, and it's up to the coach to channel both in one direction.
So do the Komets have to win a title for it to be a successful season?
``Yes, that's the way people see things here,'' Schrock said.
But who specifically?
``The people who wear orange and black in the stands.''
But the people in the stands have to remember even the Komets have to start over sometimes.



DID YOU KNOW: Over the last 10 seasons Allen has won four championships, made the playoffs nine times, finished with a regular season points percentage above .600 seven times and above .700 three times.

Tuesday, November 29, 2022

Allen Releases Olynek and Godbout, Roster Update, Looking Ahead to 13 December Games, Crone and Finlay Top Rookies, ECHL Scoring Leaders and More

 

After a tough three games in Idaho last week the Allen Americans have some time to regroup and refocus as they don't play again until Friday when they start a three games in three days (Friday, Saturday, Sunday) home series against the Rapid City Rush.


- Coach Costello has been retooling the roster adding goalie Eric Dop (trade with Tulsa) and forwards Joe Widmar and Aidan Brown (trades with Norfolk) since Allen last played a home game. Yesterday forwards Kolten Olynek and Marcel Godbout were released. Here are the 2022-23 stats for the forwards added and released:

  • Joe Widmar - 12 points (5G, 7A) in 17 games
  • Aidan Brown - 12 points (5G, 7A) in 14 games
  • Marcel Godbout - 1 point (0G, 1A) in 12 games
  • Kolten Olynek - 0 points (0G, 0A) in 7 games

 

- With the recent changes the Allen roster now has 23 players; two goalies, six defensemen and 15 forwards. Here is the complete roster:

 

Goalies 
  • #31 - Luke Peressini
  • #1 - Eric Dop

Defensemen 
  • #4 - Kris Myllari
  • #16 - Ryan Gagnon
  • #19 - Jared Bethune 
  • #23 - Colton Saucerman
  • #24 - Dalton Skelly
  • #55 - Lord-Anthony Grissom
     
Forwards
  • #7 - Colton Hargrove
  • #10 - Jackson Leppard
  • #15 - Liam Finlay
  • #18 - Zach Pochiro
  • #21 - Jack Combs
  • #25 - Aidan Brown
  • #26 - Spencer Asuchak (injured reserve)
  • #28 - Justin Young (injured reserve)
  • #29 - Nico Blachman
  • #32 - Mikael Robidoux (suspended until December 4)
  • #44 - Andrew Durham
  • #52 - Joe Widmar
  • #67 - Hank Crone
  • #77 - Stephen Baylis (injured reserve) 


- The problem for Allen is the players on injured reserve will not return soon. Baylis hasn't played a game all season and it is not sure when/if  he returns to the lineup. Asuchak's return is months not weeks away. Young will return to the lineup the soonest and hopefully he will be back by the end of December. Mikael Robidoux will be eligible to return to the lineup Sunday (December 4) against Rapid City after completing his 14 game suspension.  


- The bottom line is unless a player is added this week, the Americans will play Friday with two goalies, six defensemen and 10 forwards. They will be one skater short of the 17 allowed. I know general manager Costello is looking to add to the roster. If you look at the list above an additional defenseman and forward would sure help given Allen plays 13 games in the month of December. 

 

- Here is the current points percentage of the teams Allen will play in December. While they all have better points percentages than Allen (.393), none are higher than third in theie division. The Americans start December with a stronger lineup and that doesn't include players that will be added soon. December could be a good month for Allen.

  • .500 - Rapid City (3 home games) 
  • .633 - Reading (3 away games)
  • .600 - Wichita (5 games, 4H, 1A)
  • .533 - Tulsa (2 away games)


- Allen has played 20% of its games (14 of 72) so it is still early, but Hank Crone and Liam Finlay have to be in the conversation for the ECHL All-Rookie team and Rookie of the Year. They both have 17 points (7G, 10A) which is tied for #2 among all rookies. Finlay missed a couple of games so his points per game average is higher. He is #2 among rookies with a 1.42 points per game average and is #4 in plus/minus (+9). Crone is tied for #3 with three power play goals. Allen relies a lot on Finlay and Crone as they play in all situations. They both deserve a shot with some AHL team (they are AHL free agents) but if they don't get loaned they are going to be at the top of the rookie scoring list.


- This week Allen will have a lot of time to work on areas that need improvement given the Americans don't play until Friday. It is the most time Allen will have off between games all season. One of the areas that needs improvement is special teams at home. Allen is dead last in home power play percentage at just 8.3%. In its five home games, Allen has had just 12 power play opportunities and scored one goal. In those same five home games Allen has given up 31 power play opportunities to its opponents and allowed six goals for a penalty kill percentage of 80.6%. Cutting down on penalties and doing a better job on the power play will be key in the series against Rapid City. 

 

- Here are some miscellaneous Allen records to ponder. It is pretty clear what leads to success and what doesn't:

  • 3-0-0-0: Leading after the first period
  • 4-0-1-0: Leading after the second period
  • 2-1-1-0: Tied after the first period
  • 1-0-0-0: Tied after the second period
  • 0-7-0-0: Trailing after the first period
  • 0-8-0-0: Trailing after the second period
  • 2-2-1-0: Out shooting opponent
  • 3-6-0-0: Out shot by opponent 
  • 5-1-1-0: Scoring the first goal
  • 0-7-0-0: Allowing the first goal


DID YOU KNOW: Last season the ECHL points leader had 83 points (Will Graber, Fort Wayne). It is still early but six players already have 20 or more points and are on pace to score 90 or more points. Here are the current ECHL point leaders:
 
31 - *Zach O’Brien, Newfoundland
26 - Orrin Centazzo, Newfoundland
21 - Ryan Dmowski, Idaho
21 - Jeremy McKenna, Kansas City
20 - Max Newton, Reading
20 - Ty Pelton-Byce, Idaho
 
*O’Brien is on pace to score between 135-140 points if he plays in all 55 remaining Newfoundland games. The last player to come close that mark was Chad Costello who had 125 points for Allen in 2014-15 and won the scoring title by an all-time record of 45 points.

Monday, November 28, 2022

It's Thanksgiving Plus a Few Days - Are ECHL Playoff Teams Already Decided?

I hope you all had a Happy Thanksgiving and were able to spend time with family and friends. On a personal note, Nancy and I became grandparents for the first time with the birth of our granddaughter on Saturday. A special time in our lives for sure.

 

-  I had to chuckle when I saw this description of Thanksgiving by comedian Jim Gaffigan: "Thanksgiving. It's like we didn't even try to come up with a tradition. The tradition is, we overeat. 'Hey, how about on Thanksgiving we just eat a lot?' 'But we do that every day!' 'Oh. What if we eat a lot with people that annoy the hell out of us after three hours?"



- It is time for my "Thanksgiving Day Playoff Theory" blog which predicts the 16 ECHL playoff teams based on the standings as of today. No need to worry any more, the fate of your favorite team is already decided. A little overstated but not by much. I decided to wait until after the weekend games were completed because the ECHL had a delayed start this season (October 21). That was 10 days later than the typical first games before COVID.  By including the weekend games the percentage of games completed by each team is about the same as in the past (18%-25%).



- I have talked about this in the past after reading numerous articles about the history in the NHL, where data proves somewhere between 75% - 80% of playoff teams are already decided by now. Here is one of the more informative stories about this subject from the Hockey News several years ago: http://www.thehockeynews.com/news/article/out-of-the-playoffs-december-1-done-like-thanksgiving-dinner

  

- It is strange to think with about 20% of the ECHL season complete, you can predict who will be in the playoffs with close to 80% accuracy. Nothing ventured, nothing gained so here are the playoff teams strictly by the numbers plus where I think the "Thanksgiving Day Playoff Theory" might be wrong. The numbers in parentheses are the current winning percentages. Here are your 2022-23 playoff teams.



NORTH DIVISION

  • 1. Worcester (.853)
  • 2. Newfoundland (.794)
  • 3. Reading (.633)
  • 4. Trois Riviéres (.469)



The top two in the North Division are pretty much a lock but the last playoff team will come down to Trois Riviéres, Adirondack or Maine. Based on their records the last 10 games, Trois Riviéres should hang on to the final playoff spot. Norfolk (.139) is the only team in the division that is already out of the playoff picture. The Admirals have started trading players for future considerations which are players they will get at the end of the season.




SOUTH DIVISION

  • 1. Florida (.700)
  • 2. Atlanta (.679)
  • 3. Savannah (.654)
  • 4. South Carolina (.643)



The South Division has six teams with a points percentage above .500 and in playoff territory. Greenville is at .567 and Jacksonville is at .533. Only Orlando (.406) is out of the picture right now. Jacksonville and Greenville made the playoffs last season and could jump into a playoff position. Savannah is a first year franchise and has cooled down (4-3-3--0 in last 10 games) after a great start to the season  (5-1-0-0). It will be hard for the Ghost Pirates to maintain a playoff position.




CENTRAL DIVISION

  • 1. Cincinnati (.821)
  • 2. Indy (.656)
  • 3. Kalamazoo (.536) 
  • 4. Wheeling (.467)


Of all of the divisions the Central is the most likely to have a different outcome than it looks like today. It is hard to say Fort Wayne (.464) and Toledo (.393) won't make the playoffs based on past history. Iowa (.321) is unlikely to make the playoffs, but I could see Fort Wayne and/or Toledo leap-frog Kalamazoo and/or Wheeling for a playoff spot.  




MOUNTAIN DIVISION

  • 1. Idaho (.844)
  • 2. Kansas City (.607)
  • 3. Wichita (.600)
  • 4. Tulsa (.533)


This is another division where every team but one has a record of .500+. Rapid City and Utah are lurking just behind Tulsa. Utah was the #1 team in the regular season last season and Rapid City was #2, so it is easy to see them moving into a playoff position. Allen is in last place in the division with a .393 points percentage and is the only team out of contention for a playoff spot at this point.    



- History says if you are more than five points out of the fourth playoffs spot the chances of making it into the playoffs spot is almost nonexistent. That is bad news for Norfolk who is already 10 points out of a playoff spot.  Three teams (Orlando, Iowa, Allen) are exactly five points from a playoff position and would have to pass two teams to get into a playoff position, so their chances are slim.


- Historically, teams more than five points clear of the final playoff spot in the division at this point can start selling playoff tickets as they rarely miss the playoffs. Teams in this category include Worcester, Newfoundland, Cincinnati, Indy and Idaho.


- The bottom line is most playoffs teams are already decided but as important it is to make the playoffs, it is a myth that once you make the ECHL playoffs any team can win the Kelly Cup. In the last 15 seasons the Kelly Cup champion has never finished worse than seventh in the regular season. In 13 of the last 15 seasons the Kelly Cup champion finished in the top five during the regular season. Half of the time the eventual champion has finished in the top three during the regular season. History says any team that finishes below #7 in the regular season and makes the playoffs has almost zero chance of winning the Kelly Cup. 
     

- Keep in mind this is all done in fun and I will definitely revisit it at the end of the season to see how many of the 16 teams in playoff positions now, will in fact make the playoffs. If your favorite team is currently out the playoffs, remember even with 80% accuracy, three or four teams currently on the outside of a playoff position will make the playoffs.




DID YOU KNOW: The list of ECHL teams that have won multiple championships is not very long when you consider the league has been around since 1988 and there have been something like 60 different  teams depending on how you count. Here are the eight teams that have won multiple ECHL championships with winning coaches in parenthesis:

  • Alaska Aces - 2006, 2011, 2014  (Davis Payne, Rob Murray, Rob Murray)
  • South Carolina Stingrays - 1997, 2001, 2009  (Rick Vaive, Rick Adduono, Jared Bednar)
  • Hampton Roads Admirals - 1991, 1992, 1998  (John Brophy)
  • Florida Everblades - 2012, 2022  (Greg Poss, Brad Ralph)
  • Colorado Eagles - 2017, 2018  (Aaron Schneekloth)
  • Allen Americans - 2015, 2016  (Steve Martinson)
  • Cincinnati Cyclones - 2008, 2010  (Chuck Weber)
  • Idaho Steelheads - 2004, 2007  (John Oliver, Derek Laxdal)
  • Toledo Storm - 1993, 1994  (Chris McSorley)

  

Sunday, November 27, 2022

Allen Loses Again in Idaho, Game Recap, Video Highlights, No Quit in Allen Despite the Obstacles and More

 

It started out differently but ended up the same as the Allen Americans lost to the Idaho Steelheads last night by a score of 5-2 before a sellout crowd of 5082 at the Idaho Central Arena. Allen lost all three games of the series in Idaho by scores of 7-4, 5-1 and 5-2 which are the three highest goals allowed games all season. 

 

- The game started out differently in that Allen scored the first goal of the game on a Hank Crone power play goal. Allen was 5-0-1-0 when scoring first, prior to last night's loss.  After the Americans took a 1-0 lead the same thing happened as happened in the first two games of the series. Idaho scored four unanswered goals and the game was essentially over. The Americans closed the gap to 4-2 early in the third period on a Liam Finlay power play goal, but Idaho extended the lead back to three goals a few minutes later to make the final score 5-2. Allen was outshot 33-12 in the first two periods and 39-20 for the game.

 

-  Crone and Finlay scored their seventh goal last night and both have 17 points. They are now in a three-way tie with Jack Combs for the team lead in points (17). That puts the three of them tied for 15th in scoring in the ECHL. Crone and Finlay are tied for second in scoring among ECHL rookies.


- Here is the game recap issued by the Allen Americans: https://allenamericans.com/media/game-recap-americans-swept-by-idaho/

 

- Here are the video highlights with all of the goals and a save that will surely make the saves of the week in the ECHL: https://www.echl.com/en/video/2022/11/allen-americans-vs-idaho-steelheads---nov-26-2022-fwILrsbl


- Here is a recap of the three game series sweep in Idaho:

  •  Allen's point percentage went from .500 and a playoff position to .393 and last place in the Mountain Division:
  • Allen was outscored 17-7
  • Allen was outshot 121-82
  • Of Allen's seven goals scored, just two were even strength. Four were power play goals and one was a shorthanded goal.


- Allen returns home after a going 2-4-0-0 on its six game road trip. The Americans don't play again until Friday when they play three games in three days against Rapid City. Then it is back on the road for three games against Reading. It means six games in 10 days with a trip to Reading included. It is not going to get any easier for Allen. 


OTHER COMMENTS

- If you spend time talking to Chad Costello which I do most days, his focus is always on what can he do as a coach to get better. He never makes excuses and always believes he has a team good enough to play with any team in the league. If you watched the three games in Idaho you noticed he made adjustments to the systems and line combination every game. Regardless of the obstacles he will keep grinding.

 

-  Allen has not received much help from Ottawa, but that is primarily because Belleville has been decimated with injuries and illness. Here is the list from Belleville's injury report yesterday:

  • Jonathan Aspirot (D/LW): week-to-week
  • Kyle Betts (C): week-to-week
  • Cory Conacher (C/W): indefinite
  • Philippe Daoust (C/LW): season ending
  • Ridly Greig (C/LW): day-to-day
  • Jayce Hawryluk (RW/C): week-to-week
  • Roby Jarventie (LW): week-to-week 
  • Viktor Lodin (C/LW): illness
  • Kristians Rubins (D): week-to-week
  • Mads Sogaard (G): day-to-day
  • Nikita Zaitsev (D): illness

 

- Belleville isn't lending players to the ECHL, they are signing ECHL players to PTO contracts. They have signed forwards from Utah (Cutler) and  Iowa (Boucher) in the last five days and of course Nick Albano was signed to a PTO on November 11 and has played in all eight games since reporting to Belleville. Don't look for Albano to return to Allen anytime soon. Here is what Belleville coach, Troy Mann had to say about Albano after the the Senator's 4-1 win over Laval last night.

"Nick has been very good for us. More of a puck mover style of defenseman. He is very very coachable, he comes in and meets with coach David Bell and he wants to get better. He works hard in practice, is a good teammate and I thought he was good tonight. Does he make mistakes, sure, every player makes mistakes, but we like what we see from him. He was good in training camp, he is an example of a player that made an impression in training camp and is getting an opportunity and a great opportunity. He will be here for the foreseeable future based on what is going on with our right shot defensemen."


- When you consider Allen is -1 with Belleville, no players assigned to the Americans and one Allen player loaned to the Senators, it is difficult to compete with ECHL teams that have 5-10 assigned players. It is not an excuse but a reality that will only change if Belleville gets a lot healthier than they are today.

 

- Another complication for Allen are the long term injuries to Spencer Asuchak, Stephan Baylis and Justin Young. Baylis hasn't played a game all season and is nowhere near returning to the lineup. Ashchak's return is months not weeks away. Young will return to the lineup the soonest and hopefully he will be back by the end of December. Mikael Robidoux will be eligible to return to the lineup Sunday (December 4) against Rapid City after completing his 14 game suspension.  


- It may have flown a little under the radar but coach Costello added two players from Norfolk this week that will have an impact. Joe Widmar was leading Norfolk in goals when he was acquired and Aidan Brown was leading the Admirals in points. Widmar played 13 games in Norfolk and had nine points (5G, 4A). Brown played 14 games and had 12 points (5G, 7A). What coach Costello told me is he traded for Brown not for his scoring but because he is hard to play against and good on the forecheck. He brings a lot of grit and jam to his game in addition to his scoring potential. 


- Here are the Mountain Division teams in order of their record over the last 10 games with points percentage in parenthesis:

  • 8-1-0-1: Idaho (.844)
  • 6-3-1-0: Wichita (.643)
  • 6-4-0-0: Rapid City (.500)
  • 5-4-1-0: Kansas City (.607)
  • 5-5-0-0: Utah (.467)
  • 3-3-4-0: Tulsa (.500)
  • 3-6-1-0: Allen (.393)


- The bottom line is Allen will get better by continuing to improve, adding pieces to upgrade the roster, getting players currently out of the lineup back and getting players assigned from the affiliate. It might take a while for all of these to happen, but this team will be better going forward.


DID YOU KNOW: Four of the top five ECHL goalies in goals against average (GAA) this season are rookies:
 
#2 - 1.74: Luke Cavallin, Newfoundland
#3 - 1.97: Mark Sinclair, Cincinnati
#4 - 2.02: Henrik Tikkanen, Worcester
#5 - 2.09: Isaiah Saville, Savannah 
 
The ECHL #1 goalie in GAA (1.15) and save percentage (.955) is 4th year professional Jake Kupsky, from Idaho. He has played in seven games, allowed a total of eight goals and has a league leading three shutouts.


Saturday, November 26, 2022

Allen Loses in Idaho, Game Recap, Video Highlights, Keys to Victory Tonight and More

 

The Allen Americans weren't able to stop the bleeding last night in Idaho losing to the Steelheads 5-1 before a crowd of 5121 at Idaho Central Arena. Once again the Americans gave up the first goal of the game early in the first period (5:44) and kept their perfect record alive of not winning a game when giving up the first goal. Allen is now 0-7 when allowing the first goal. The Americans are 5-0-1-0 when they do score first.

 

- Allen tied the score 1-1 at the 11:04 mark of the first period on Colton Hargrove's third goal of the season and it looked like the game would be different than the loss on Wednesday, but it was not to be. Two former Allen Americans combined to give Idaho a 2-1 lead after the first period. Zane Frankln scored the goal and Matt Register had the assist. Franklin and Register killed Allen all night, accounting for five of Idaho's 12 points. Franklin had two goals and Register had three assists according to the official box score but the Idaho press release said he had four assists so maybe it will be changed. Register was also a +3 in the game and now leads the ECHL in plus/minus at +21.

 

- Allen was unable to score in the last 49 minutes in the game while allowing Idaho four unanswered goals to make the final score 5-1. That makes a total of 12 goals allowed in the first two games of the series with Idaho. Prior to the seven goals allowed on Wednesday and five allowed last night, the Americans had not allowed more than four goals all season. 

 

- Here are some other stats that helped contribute to the defeat:

  • Allen had 33 penalty minutes, Idaho had eight
  • Allen was 0-4 on the power play, Idaho 1-5
  • Allen was out shot 16-7 in the first period
  • Allen was outshot in every period, 41-29 for the game
  • Allen allowed over 40 shots for the fourth straight game. 
  • It was the first game all month the Combs-Finlay-Crone line did not have a point

 

- Here are press releases from both teams recapping the game:

 

- Here are the video highlights: https://www.echl.com/en/video/2022/11/allen-americans-vs-idaho-steelheads---nov-25-2022-2quw8UQH

 

- What does Allen need to do to get things turned around tonight and win the third game of the series with Idaho? Here are five points that would lead to victory and they are all doable:

  • Score the first goal
  • Out shoot Idaho and give up fewer than 35 shots
  • Win the special teams battle
  • Get a good performance from goalie Eric Dop who will be making his first start for Allen and his first professional start
  • Top line needs to score after being shutout last night


 

OTHER COMMENTS

- All seven Mountain Division teams played last night. Tulsa, Kansas City and Idaho won while Allen, Rapid City, Utah and Wichita lost. Here are the current standings by points percentage:

  • .833 - Idaho
  • .654 - Kansas City
  • .615 - Wichita
  • .500 - Tulsa
  • .467 - Rapid City
  • .429 - Utah
  • .423 - Allen


- Allen and Adirondack have a lot in common. Both teams reached into the locker room in the off season and hired the team captain as head coach. Chad Costello and Pete MacArthur got to know each over the summer as they both were playing 3ICE while learning the ropes as head coaches and recruiting for the 2022-23 season. Ironically both teams have an identical .423 points percentage. Adirondack got off to a real bad start with a record of 2-6-2-1 going into this week with Newfoundland coming to town for three games. Newfoundland's record was 12-1-1-1 and it looked to be a long series for Adirondack. It has turned out quite the opposite as the Thunder have handed the Growlers two losses, both by a score of 3-2.


- The hottest teams in the ECHL right now are Trois Riviéres with a streak of 5-0-0-0 and Idaho with a streak of 6-0-0-1. The team with the longest losing streak is Utah (0-5-0-0). 


- Tulsa has points in seven of its last 10 games (4-3-3-0) and has improved to .500 in points percentage. The Oilers also have two of the top five ECHL crowds this season. Tulsa drew the top crowd of the season (12,950) against Allen on October 21 and the fifth largest crowd (9102) last night against Wichita. The Oilers average attendance is 7386 which ranks #2 in the ECHL behind Fort Wayne who is averaging 7677 per game. 


DID YOU KNOW: Shots in one period don’t necessarily tell the story. A few cases on point:
 
- Last night Reading had zero shots in the third period, the fewest shots in any period this season and the 24th time in ECHL history a team was held to zero shots in a period. Ironically the Royals won the game, beating Maine 1-0.
 
- The second fewest shots in a period this season is one. On November 5th, Tulsa had just one 3rd period shot in a game against Wichita. Ironically the Oilers beat Wichita 4-1.
 
 
- On the flip side, on October 23rd, Atlanta had the most 2nd period shots this season (22) in a game against Savannah. Despite 22 shots in one period and a game total of 47, Atlanta lost to Savannah 4-1.

Friday, November 25, 2022

Keys to the Weekend, Allen Trades for a Goalie, Massicotte Recalled by Belleville, Best ECHL Teams Last 10 Games and More

 

The Allen Americans had Thanksgiving (American) to regroup after the 7-4 loss to Idaho on Wednesday. There was a team dinner last night before Allen takes on Idaho tonight and Saturday. It has not been a relaxing day off for coach Costello. Since the loss on Wednesday, he found out goalie Logan Flodell "won't be back for a little longer" so he had no choice but trade for a goalie. The Americans have been using an EBUG and that can't continue. Roster update:

  • Allen made a trade with Tulsa to obtain rookie goalie Eric Dop in exchange for cash considerations. Dop played in three games with Tulsa, all coming in relief and had a save percentage of .854. Dop is a rookie who played at Boston College last season after four years at Bowling Green. In his NCAA career he played in 113 games with a 2.50 GAA and .907 save percentage.
  • Another loss yesterday was defenseman Zachary Massicotte being recalled by Belleville. Massicotte played eight games since being loaned to Allen and had four points (1G, 3A) and was +2.
  • The bottom line is Allen now has no assigned players from its affiliate and an Allen signed player (Nick Albano) has been loaned to Belleville since November 11. Don't get me wrong, it is a great opportunity for Albano as he has played in all six games since being loaned. 
  •  It is hard to track the number of NHL/AHL players assigned to ECHL teams. I do it by tick marks from the transactions report each day. My data shows Allen is the only ECHL teams with no assigned players. In addition, 20 of 28 ECHL teams (including Idaho) have five or more assigned players, including several with more than ten.

 

-  Allen learned last week in Cincinnati it can hang with any team in the league by handing the Cyclones their only regulation loss of the season. What does Allen have to do to get points this weekend?

  • Obviously Allen needs to be ready to go at the opening puck drop and get off to a better start. You can't comeback if you give up the first four goals of the game. Keep in mind Allen hasn't won a game this season when they give up the first goal.
  • The last three games Allen has allowed 49, 42 and 41 shots. This after allowing an average of 25 shots per game the first nine games of the season. The Americans will need to cut down on shots allowed to be successful. 
  • Allen won the special teams battle in the loss on Wednesday. Three of Allen's four goals were scored by the special teams (two power play, one shorthanded). The Americans took just two minor penalties compared to four by Idaho. The Americans need to continue the excellent special teams play from Wednesday to be successful. 


- Here are the game notes from the Idaho press release which recapped the game on Wednesday. It gives you a good idea of what Allen is up against this weekend:

  • Idaho finished 1-for-2 on power-play while Allen was 2-for-4
  • Steelheads outshot the Americans 42-33. 
  • Idaho has points in six straight games (5-0-0-1).    
  • Idaho is (1-0-0-0) vs. Allen this season and 21-16-5 all-time including 13-6-3 in Boise.
  • Owen Headrick increased his point streak to six games with two assists (3-5-7).   
  • Ty Pelton-Byce has points in five of his last six (6-4-10). 
  • Ryan Dmowski recorded his sixth multi-point game of the season and led the game with nine shots. He is tied for the league lead with 11 goals. 
  • Jade Miller recorded the first two goal game and first three-point game of his career. 
  • Colton Kehler, Jack Becker, and Zane Franklin each tallied two assists.
  • Patrick Kudla (1-1-2) recorded his fifth multi-point game of the season and leads all defenders in scoring (4-12-16). 
  • Matt Register finished (+3) and leads the league with a (+18) rating.  
  • Casey Johnson (IR), Willie Knierim (INJ), Cody Haiskanen (IR), and Jordan Kawaguchi (IR), Wade Murphy (DNP), and Jake Kupsky (DNP) did not dress for Idaho.


- It is hard to overstate how important it is to come away from Idaho with some points. It is only Thanksgiving but history would say teams below .500 at this point have a very low chance of making the playoffs. Allen is already in a hole, they don't want to dig that hole any deeper. Despite all of the obstacles, I am reminded of something coach Costello said to me last week which is very important going into the weekend, "We have things to improve upon as a team, but effort, attitude, leadership and caring for one another will never be a problem with this group."

 

OTHER COMMENTS

- it is a big night in the ECHL tonight with 12 games on the schedule. All seven Mountain Division teams are in action:

  • Wichita at Tulsa
  • Kansas City at Rapid City
  • Allen at Idaho
  • Trois Rivieres at Utah

Here is the ECHL Today with previews of all 12 games: https://www.echl.com/en/news/2022/11/echl-today-nov-25

 

-  Norfolk has played more games (16) than any other ECHL team. Kalamazoo, Toledo and Iowa have played the fewest games (11). Norfolk has played 11 of its 16 games on the road and lost them all. The Admirals have lost 12 straight games and are within striking distance of making the list of longest winless streaks in one season. It will take 15 losses to make the list, 16 to be tied for #2 and 20 straight losses for the all-time record set by the Victoria Salmon Kings in 2004-05. 

 


DID YOU KNOW: With the exception of Reading, who lost its first four games of the season before winning seven of next nine, the top ECHL teams continue to win. Here are the five teams that have won seven or more games in their last 10. The team’s current points percentage is in parenthesis.
 
8-1-0-1: Cincinnati (.875)
8-1-0-1: Idaho (.821)
8-2-0-0: Worcester (.867)
7-2-1-0: Newfoundland (.833)
7-3-0-0: Reading (.577)

Thursday, November 24, 2022

Allen Gives Up First Four Goals in Loss to Idaho, Game Recap, Video Highlights. Pochiro Hits 100 Goal Milestone, Combs Leads ECHL in Percentage of Team's Points and More

 HAPPY THANKSGIVING EVERYONE!


The Allen Americans gave up the first four goals on Wednesday night at the Idaho Central Arena, falling 7-4 to the Idaho Steelheads. It didn’t take long for Idaho to take the lead, scoring a power play goal at the 2:03 mark of the first period. The Steelheads followed that up with another goal at the 8:16 mark and took a 2-0 lead into the first intermission. It looked bleak at that point. Any chance for a comeback by Allen was quickly dashed early in the second period when Idaho scored its third goal 40 seconds after puck drop and a fourth goal 78 seconds later.

 

- Allen scored two unanswered goals to cut the score to 4-2 on a Jared Bethune shorthanded goal and Liam Finlay power play goal, but Idaho took a 5-2 lead into the second intermission.

 

- The Americans scored two more goals in the third period after Idaho took a 6-2 lead. Zach Pochiro scored the 100th goal of his ECHL career and Jack Combs scored a power play goal. Idaho scored an empty net goal with a minute remaining in the game to make the final score 7-4. 

 

- Goal scorers for Allen were Jared Bethune (1), Liam Finlay (6), Zach Pochiro (6) and Jack Combs (8). Here is the game recap issued by the Allen Americans with more details: https://allenamericans.com/media/game-recap-americans-fall-is-idaho/  

 

- Here are the video highlights with all 11 goals: https://www.echl.com/en/video/2022/11/allen-americans-vs-idaho-steelheads---nov-23-2022-BDEnkgvf


- A lot went wrong for the Americans in their defeat last night. Here are a few examples:

  • Allen took an early penalty which led to Idaho's first goal. It wasn't a good sign when you consider Idaho has not lost all season when scoring first (8-0) and Allen has not won when giving up the first goal (0-6).
  • Idaho had the lead after the first period. Another bad sign as Allen is 0-5 when trailing after the first period and Idaho is 5-0 when leading after the first period.
  • Allen allowed 42 shots, the second highest all season. The Americans were outshot 42-33. They have now allowed 40+ shots in three straight games.
  • Allen allowed seven goals which is the most all season. The previous high was four goals.
  • Prior to last night the Americans had allowed seven goals just one time in over a year.

 

- With all of the bad there were some positives from the game last night.

  • Allen takes close to seven minor penalties per game, last night they took just two.
  • Allen capitalized on its power play opportunities scoring two power play goals (2-4)
  • Allen scored its first shorthand goal of the season. The Americans are one of two ECHL teams (Tulsa the other) that have not allowed a shorthanded goal this season. A big improvement from last season when Allen scored seven shorthanded goals but allowed 20.
  • Allen scored four goals last night against an Idaho team that was allowing an average of 1.85 goals per game.  

 

OTHER COMMENTS

 - Zach Pochiro scored his 100th ECHL goal last night playing in his 291st ECHL game. Some facts:

  • 58 of Zach's 100 goals were scored while playing for the Allen Americans.
  • Zach has averaged a half a goal per game in his 117 games played with Allen.
  • In 2018-19 Zach led Allen with 34 goals in 63 games and finished #3 in the ECHL. 

 

- With the loss last night the Americans are back under .500 on a record of 5-6-1-0. Allen's loss combined with Tulsa's win over Wichita has the Americans tied for last place in the Mountain Division standings. Here are the current standings by points percentage:

  • .821 - Idaho
  • .667 - Wichita
  • .625 - Kansas City
  • .500 - Rapid City
  • .462 - Utah
  • .458 - Tulsa
  • .458 - Allen

 

- There was some shuffling last night for the best record in the ECHL. Here are the four teams with points percentages above .800. FYI, the only time an ECHL team has ever finished a season with a points percentage above .800 was way back in 2001-02 when the Louisiana IceGators finished at .806 with a record of 56-12-4.

  • .867 - Worcester
  • .864 - Cincinnati
  • .833 - Newfoundland
  • .821 - Idaho  


- There are three games scheduled in the ECHL today. Greenville at Orlando, Savannah at Atlanta and Cincinnati at Fort Wayne. Here is the ECHL Today with the previews: https://www.echl.com/en/news/2022/11/echl-today-nov-24

 

- Tomorrow I will do my annual story about how all but three or four ECHL playoff teams are already decided. Always a fun look this early in the season. 

 

 

DID YOU KNOW: Was surprised this morning when researching the ECHL Stats post for today to find Jack Combs has a higher percentage of his team's points than any other player in the league. 
 
Here are the ECHL players with the highest percentage of their team’s total points thus far this season:
 
18.7% - Jack Combs, Allen
17.4% - Shane Harper, Adirondack
16.1% - *Max Newton, Reading
16.0% - *Pat Guay, Savannah
15.3% - Zach O’Brien, Newfoundland
15.1% - Andrew Nielsen, Utah
 
*Rookies